After Iraq, Iraq v. Iran

I tend to agree with Walt's assessment that U.S. withdrawal from Iraq may actually undermine, as opposed to bolster, Iran's position vis-a-vis Iraq:

Ever since 2003, the U.S. presence in Iraq has reinforced cooperation between Iran and some significant portions of Iraq's Shiite community, and especially those elements (such as Muktada al Sadr's Mahdi Army) who really wanted the United States to get out. But once we withdraw, then it is far from obvious that the bulk of Iraqis -- including most Iraqi leaders -- will want to become a satrap for Iran. It's true that the Sunni-Shiite divide provides Iran with some avenues of influence in Iraq society, but there's also the enduring division between Arabs and Persians and Iraq's overriding interest in not allowing Iran to become a hegemonic power in the Gulf region. Let's not forget that the two countries fought a brutal and costly war for most of the 1980s, and plenty of Iraqi and Iranian Shiites killed each other during that conflict.

The Indochina war offers an obvious historical analogy. One of the reasons the United States fought there for so long was the familiar domino theory -- the dubious idea that a communist victory in Vietnam would trigger a cascade of falling dominos and undermine the entire US position in Asia (and possibly elsewhere). But when the United States finally got out, the exact opposite thing happened: none of our other Asian allies abandoned us and China and Vietnam had a rapid falling-out that led to war between the two communist states in 1979. And over time, of course, China abandoned Maoism and Vietnam grew more and more interested in better relations with America. And let's not forget that fourteen years after Saigon fell, it was the Soviet Union that ended up on the ash-heap of history. Once we stopped pouring troops and bombs into Indochina, in short, our strategic position began to improve and we could focus on the more serious aspects of Cold War competition.

In short, if you really think Iran is a threat to dominate the Gulf region, and if you also believe that states tend to balance against threatening powers instead of band-wagoning with them, then you should also expect the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq to encourage more regional powers--including Iraq--to take actions to limit Iranian power and influence. And that might also include being a bit more favorably inclined toward the United States, despite all the other things we do that tick off people in that part of the world. That could be why we're getting a positive response to these new initiatives, and that's why getting out of Iraq may actually bolster our overall strategic position.

Putting aside the historical analogy, the notion that Iran will continue to dominate Iraq and the wider Gulf upon U.S. withdrawal seems misplaced. First, as Walt notes, Iranian strength will likely inspire balancing on the part of Iran's neighbors. Second, for historical and cultural reasons, Iraq is more likely to align with its Arab neighbors (who will engage in balancing) than to band-wagon with Persian Iran, despite the fact that the majority of Iraqis are, like the vast majority of Iranians, Shiite.

The Short List - November 1, 2011

International

• The Greek government has called for a national referendum on the EU rescue package sending stocks crashing and causing MF Global to file for bankruptcy over its exposure to European debt.
• In Libya, a new interim Prime Minister has been named, but the country is already having some trouble turning the militias that helped lead the rebels to victory into regular army units.
• UNESCO admitted Palestine to the body as a full member, and in response the U.S. has stopped payment on $60 million in annual funding to the organization.
• In Egypt, protesters are coming to the aid of a blogger who was arrested and refuses to recognize the military court the government sought to try him in because the military is the group bringing the charges against him.
• Amnesty International has been critical of the Ugandan government's crackdown on opposition groups, protesting the higher prices in the country.

Domestic

• Herman Cain spent much of yesterday addressing sexual harassment claims that two former employees have levied against him.  But Cain's shifting story over a 24 period has raised more questions than it has answered.
• Score a point for civility, oh wait, take that point down.
• The Super Committee is running out of time, but Social Security is on the table.  No words yet is tax increases are also on the table.
• Some Jewish leaders believe Obama needs to make a visit to Israel or else lose Jewish support, though I think Matt Yglesias might find this argument a bit lacking.

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• The Economist pens an almost wistful obituary of Muammar Qaddafi. David Bosco considers the potential pitfalls awaiting an ICC prosecution of Saif al-Islam Qaddafi.
• More signs pointing towards the reality of the Iranian plot to assassinate Adel al-Jubeir.
• The United States cut off funds to UNESCO--the UN body responsible for, among other things, designating World Heritage sites--because the body granted Palestine member-state status, within that organ of the UN. The United States believes the Palestinian bid for membership (and thereby, de jure statehood) in the UN is premature and that Israelis and Palestinians should work together toward the two state solution. In other news, the Egyptian-negotiated ceasefire designed to end the cycle of rockets-then-air strikes in Israel and Gaza appears to be moribund. 
• And the world's 7th billion inhabitant may or may not have been born somewhere today. Regardless of the questionable precision, the fact is there are a lot of folks on the planet today. 

Domestic

• Politico broke a story this morning about two women accusing Herman Cain of sexual harassment during his tenure as head of the National Restaurant Association. The Cain camp has issued a series of more strident denials over the course of the day, ranging from denying the charges, denying any awareness of the settlement, and to claiming he's subject to a "witch hunt." Cain leads a new Texas poll that has Perry down.
• BHO is coming back to infrastructure investment.
• Another day, another Executive Order.

The Short List - October 28, 2011

International

• It's been confirmed that the U.S. Air Force is flying reaper drones out of a small civilian air field in Ethiopia to surveil and attack targets inside Somalia.


• Security forces in Tunisia had to fire in the air to disperse protesters, unhappy their favored party had not done better at the polls.


• The UN decided to remove the no-fly zone restrictions over Libya yesterday, despite NTC objections.  Meanwhile, reports are emerging that Qaddafi's intelligence chief was injured in custody in what would be a clear violation of international law.


• Flooding continues in Thailand.

Domestic

• Speaker Boehner says new revenues are a non-starter as he rejects a leaked proposal from the Super Committee Democrats that would have cut the federal deficit by $3 trillion, but included $1.3 trillion in new tax revenue.  **How do you negotiate with someone over deficit reduction when seemingly ANY revenue generation is a non-starter?**


• States struggle to cover their Medicaid commitments as federal money drys up.


• New York State struggles with whether to continue to tax millionaires.


• Gov. Rick Perry may bail on some of the future GOP debates.

The Short List - October 26, 2011

International

• Libya's leaders have asked for NATO to remain in the country through the end of the year to ensure remaining Qaddafi loyalists don't attempt a counter attack.


• Turkey continues to seek survivors in the rubble following this week's earthquake, and has agreed to accept international assistance after initially declining the offer.


• South Africa is rethinking its initial approval of Walmart's purchase of the country's largest retailer, Massmart, but not for the reasons many protesters might think.


• Following the success of the elections on Sunday, Tunisia will prepare to congregate a national assembly to rewrite the constitution.

Domestic

• President Obama will announce a plan today to ease the burden of student loans on college graduates, many who recently find themselves facing a difficult job market.


• Gov. Rick Perry has a tax plan that fits on a postcard, that would give people the option to opt in to a 20% flat tax.  This is in the latest in a series of plans though some scions of conservative thought are less them amped about Perry's plan.


• The PATRIOT Act turns 10.


• A former director at Goldman Sachs will surrender to police to face insider trading charges.

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• Amid speculation that Turkey may establish a buffer zone within Syria, at the end of last week, Turkey met with the Syrian opposition council for the first time. Libya's new government recognized that same Syrian opposition body--becoming the first state to do so.
• An-Nahda declared victory in Tunisia's first election since Ben Ali's ouster. Winning elections provides another similarity between Ghannouchi and Khomeini. Former Congresswoman Jane Harman described the elections as "hands down the best, most promising election I have ever witnessed, including those I have seen in the United States." 
• As Jason noted this morning, the death toll in the Turkish earthquake continues to trend upward.
• Libya claims that Saif Qaddafi is planning to flee the country on a forged passport.

Domestic

• The mess of Bachmann's campaign keeps getting ink. As a former field staffer, it is difficult for me (without knowing either the particularized experience of these staffers or their professional experiences before this campaign) to assess their grievances. That said, it kind of strikes me as the sort of bellyaching that comes from inexperienced field staff.
• Ahhh, the impact of Occupy Wall Street, already altering the narrative--this Editor wonders, though, if the change in message means the death of the jobs bill (in any form); as such, he will remove the message discipline counter. Meanwhile, the President runs against Congress. Classic re-elect tactic. And he takes a stick Minority Leader McConnell, that ole son of a [Editor's note: this is a family blog].
• Sweet Sassy Mollassy, it's the Newt & Herman show. Speaking of Cain, he's a man without a machine. But, boy can he sing!

The Short List - October 24, 2011

International

• Over the weekend a 7.2 magnitude earthquake struck Eastern Turkey.  The search for survivors continues, but already over 200 people have been reported dead.


• In Tunsia, citizens went to the polls in the first free and fair election in the country ever and the first for any Arab Spring country.  Counting is underway, but results aren't likely to be released until Tuesday.  Meanwhile, in Libya, the country formally declared independence yesterday following the killing last week of Qaddafi.  Already the hand wringing in the West has become over how Islamist is too Islamist.


• In Syria, the US ambassador has returned to Washington, but has not been formally recalled.  There is some speculation this temporary recall is for the ambassador's safety.


• In Mexico, as police are re-tasked to deal with violence, drug crops are allowed to flourish.


• Following President Obama's announcement that all combat troops will withdraw from Iraq by the holidays, Secretary Clinton warned Iran not to misread American resolve.

Domestic

• Obama's policies haven't done as much to help struggling homeowners, in part because he hasn't spent enough or gone big enough.  Meanwhile, none of the GOP presidential hopefuls could articulate what they'd do, let alone what they'd do different from Obama, to abate the housing crisis.


• The Department of Defense is leading the way in trying to utilize green technology and is helping some start-ups further develop products.  Meanwhile, the Center for a New American Security's National Security blog has been giving a lot of ink to alternative energy.


• Many expensive drugs are about to pass their patent limit so generics could be close on the horizon.


• After bailouts and attempts at reform, it's business as usual on Wall Street.  But we really need to repeal Dodd-Frank?


• The Tea Party is losing some of its vigor on the Hill.

The Short List - October 21, 2011

International

• Qaddafi is dead, which is probably old news at this point, but The Washington Post account would seem to suggest that Ben's post is highly relevant as the sequence of images versus the fatal bullet to the head seem to suggest he was not killed in the course of capture, prompting the UN to delay Qaddafi's burial so an inquiry can be performed.  Meanwhile, the impact of digital images.  Also, a tale of two approaches in Iraq and Libya.


• In Iraq, the U.S. has closed out its northern base.


• Sec. Clinton, after visiting Libya and Afghanistan, is in Pakistan less to heal damaged relations then to push the Pakistanis to get tough on the Haqqani network.


• Al-Shabab claims to have killed 150 African Union peacekeepers from Burundi and even went so far as to display over 70 bodies of slain soldiers.


• Investors in Greek bonds may be forced to accept a 50% loss according to an EU/IMF analysis.

Domestic

• Senate Republicans blocked a cloture motion on a bill that would have provided money to local governments to higher teachers and first responders.


• Two men have been indicted by a grand jury for their involvement in the alleged Iranian assassination plot.


• The Occupy movement accepts some help from unions to have greater logistical reach.


• The burden of student loan debt shackles the options graduate can choose.

The Killing of Qaddafi, War Crime

Al-Jazeera English has obtained video showing Qaddafi alive at the time of his capture. Qaddafi is clearly disoriented and bleeding from his head. Although this blog--and this Editor in particular--has been consistently supportive of the NTC and NATO's involvement in the Libyan revolution, that Qaddafi was killed shortly after strikes this Editor as a war crime. 

As Article 3 Common to the Geneva Conventions of 1949 states:

In the case of armed conflict not of an international character occurring in the territory of one of the High Contracting Parties, each Party to the conflict shall be bound to apply, as a minimum, the following provisions:
(1) Persons taking no active part in the hostilities, including members of armed forces who have laid down their arms and those placed ' hors de combat ' by sickness, wounds, detention, or any other cause, shall in all circumstances be treated humanely, without any adverse distinction founded on race, colour, religion or faith, sex, birth or wealth, or any other similar criteria.
To this end, the following acts are and shall remain prohibited at any time and in any place whatsoever with respect to the above-mentioned persons:
(a) violence to life and person, in particular murder of all kinds, mutilation, cruel treatment and torture;
(b) taking of hostages;
(c) outrages upon personal dignity, in particular humiliating and degrading treatment;
(d) the passing of sentences and the carrying out of executions without previous judgment pronounced by a regularly constituted court, affording all the judicial guarantees which are recognized as indispensable by civilized peoples.
(2) The wounded and sick shall be collected and cared for.

(emphasis added). Qaddafi was apparently killed after he was rendered hors de combat by both capture and, apparently, injury. That is murder--and likely a war crime. His body was then taken to Misurata and dragged through its streets. That is mutilation--and also likely a war crime. 

It is important to remember that this sort of conflict--a civil war--is exactly the type of conflict in the minds of the drafters when they wrote Common Article 3. It is important to remember it is triggered when there is an armed conflict in the territory of a High Contracting Party; it does not matter that the NTC is only a nascent government and not a well-established state, nor does it matter that the NTC was not the government of Libya when Libya ratified the Geneva Conventions. They are bound by it under the law of state succession. Moreover, the Geneva Conventions are jus cogens and would apply even if Libya weren't a High Contracting Party. 


UPDATE: A colleague points out that we do not know whether Qaddafi was killed after that footage or whether he succumb to his wounds. This is an excellent point. If he merely succumb to his wounds, then there was no murder. However, mutilation still stands.

The Short List - October 20, 2011

International

• NTC forces are reporting they have captured Qaddafi, but the claims can not be independently confirmed.  What is largely confirmed is that NTC forces have conquered Sirte.


• As the general strike in Greece enters day two, the parliament there is expected to consider final passage of an austerity bill which helped prompt the general strike in the first place.


• US funds intended to push for privatization may have instead given resources for crony capitalism in Egypt.

Domestic

• Rick Perry and Ron Paul have lobbied for energy subsides in the state of Texas, despite both decrying such subsides in the GOP debates.  I must admit I'm very surprised to see Ron Paul mentioned.


• The supercommittee's deadline is approaching, but as of yet there is still no consensus.


• President Obama is outpacing the GOP field in fundraising from the financial sector.


• A dispatch from Occupy Boston and another from Occupy Wall Street.

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• The United States will re-engage--or at least, have exploratory talks on the possibility of re-engagement--with North Korea.
• Greece's 48-hour general strike became quite violent today.
• Kosovar Serbs are refusing to remove barriers they setup to keep Kosovo's government from extending its writ over the last bits of ethnically Serb-controlled territory. 
• Second in a string of surprise visits, Sec. Clinton arrived in Kabul. 
• President Saleh continues along the slowest relinquishing of power ever.
• Affirmed: the Declaration of Independence was lawful. Or maybe not. Strictly speaking, secession violates domestic law--that seems self-evident, doesn't it?--but it's not, today, unlawful under international law. It may have been during the 18th century, though.

Domestic

• Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) announced that he would not endorse a Republican candidate before the caucuses. Although he did not endorse a candidate in 2007, either, Grassley previously endorsed George W. Bush in 2000, and Bob Dole in 1996 and 1988.
• The U.S. Marine Corps beat a quick retreat on their KIA memorial bracelet ban.
• Oh lord, you just know the Factor is going to make this into an Obama-is-a-book-burning-fascist thing.

The Short List - October 19, 2011

International

• After Kurdish PKK fighters launched an attack in southeastern Turkey that killed 26, the Turkish military has reportedly made an incursion into northern Iraq to attack the PKK in refuge there.


• Secretary Clinton assures the Libyan transitional government that they U.S. is on their side.


• As the Gilad Shalit prisoner swap continues to unfold, forty Palestinians that Israel deemed too dangerous to return to Palestine have arrived in exile in Syria, Turkey, Qatar, and Jordan.  Meanwhile, with Palestine's application for membership sitting idle in the UN Security Council, they are seeking full membership instead with UNESCO.  If the body approves the measure, then the U.S. is required by law to stop paying dues to the UN.  Since it came up in the debate last night, I thought I'd note that in FY2009 the U.S. government gave the UN just over $6 billion or 1.3% of the $447 billion jobs plan President Obama recommended to Congress and 0.002% of total federal government expenditures.


• There are reports of more deaths in Yemen as protests and clashes continue.


• The U.S. is waiting on a UN rights abuse inquiry before deciding to sign a $53 million deal with Bahrain.


• A massive general strike in Greece is bringing the country to a halt again.  This particular strike is expected to be the largest in several years.

Domestic

• The GOP debate last night was far chippy-er then debates past.  The transcript of our live blog can be found here, while Chris Cillizza says Romney was a winner and Cain was a loser last night along with Michele Bachmann who "every answer [she] gave was the dictionary definition of a non sequitur."  Politico gives you eight takeaways, my personal favorite is "Herman Cain likes fruit, if not details."  Fact Checker considers some of the "factual" doozies from last night.


• In a bizarre, and sad story 48 potential dangerous animals including lions and tigers escaped from a private sanctuary outside Columbus, Ohio.  At present 35 of the animals have been confirmed killed.


• President Obama will announce a public-private partnership today that will see 25,000 veterans employed over the next two years.


• Nuclear energy is doomed to be politically contentious.

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• Kenya's progress in its invasion of Somalia has slowed under heavy rains--for those of you keeping score at home, this is the second time one of Somalia's neighbors has invaded the beleaguered failed state in the last five years. A Kenyan delegation made a surprise visit to Mogadishu today to assure the TFG that Kenya does not intend to occupy Somalia. In other Somali news, a car bomb in Mogadishu killed four. This Editor wonders what the ICJ would say about this invasion--do a few kidnappings justify this action as self-defense? Do kidnappings of foreign civilians even rise to the level of an armed attack? If they do, which this Editor doubts, is this invasion proportionate? Under the Congo case, likely not. 
• Yemen. 
• Hey, the world is going to end (again?) on Friday.

Domestic

• Obama's immigration credentials are further undermined by revelations that, for the third year running, his administration has been responsible for record-setting deportations. 
• CBS bemoans the incumbency advantage. Funny, I don't remember anyone whining about the outrageous Mission Accomplished boondoggle. 
• Iowa has set its caucus date for January 3, 2012. Four years to the day after the last one.
• As Jason noted, he and I will be live blogging tonight's GOP debate. And Politico gives us 8 things that the GOP should avoid.

Live Blogging the GOP Debate

Ben and I will be live blogging the Western Republican Presidential Debate tonight at 8pm ET.  Check back in then to see what we think of what the candidates think.

The Short List - October 18, 2011

International

• Secretary Clinton is in Libya today to show support, and some aid dollars, to the transitional government there.


• Iranian President Ahmadinejad has denied Iran's involvement in the alleged plot to kill the Saudi Arabian ambassador to the U.S., saying the announcement by the U.S. was to distract from our country's economic troubles.  **Editor's Note: Points for creativity**  Meanwhile, Western diplomats and nuclear experts believe Iran's nuclear program isn't progressing quickly.  In more bad press for Iran, a new UN report claims that hundreds of prisoners have been executed by the Iranian government without any semblance of due process.


• Gilad Shalit, the Israeli solider captured by Hamas in 2006, has been reunited with this family as the proposed prisoner swap takes place between the two parties.


• There are reports that al-Awlaki's teenage son, a U.S. citizen, was killed in a drone strike on Friday and the family is speaking out.


• The Venezuelan Supreme Court has barred a chief opposition figure from seeking the presidency, removing another potential challenger to Hugo Chavez.

Domestic

• There is yet another GOP debate this evening and your editors will be live blogging the whole affair.  Here are five things to watch for.  Meanwhile, Iowa has set their caucus date for January 3rd and Ron Paul has a plan to cut $1 trillion dollars in the first year of his presidency, eliminating five departments and the TSA.


• Bank of America earned $6.2 billion in the third quarter.  Meanwhile Goldman Sachs reports a $428 million loss(NYT) in the quarter.  But of course, this could all just be corporate fraud.  **Editorial Note:  If we should just trust in markets, and markets are built on information, but the people providing the information are lying, how can we just trust markets?**


• Is there a bait and switch going on with the end of farm subsides(NYT)?

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• NTC fighters took the center of Bani Wald, today, leaving Qaddafi loyalists with only pockets of that city and of Sirte. 
• U.S. drone strikes in Northwest Pakistan have accelerated as U.S.-Pakistan relations have gotten worse. It is perhaps a mark of how badly things are going that, as Pakistan says it's ready to negotiate with the Pakistani Taliban again, the U.S. is bombing so-called 'Good Taliban' positions.
• Noah Feldman weighs in on the killing of Anwar al-Aulaqi--this Editor disagrees with some of what Feldman says, including his comparison of uniformed soldiers in IAC. Significantly, that uniformed soldier would not get a hearing before being killed in combat, as Feldman notes, but he would if he were captured. 

Domestic

• SCOTUS has granted cert to a case involving a federal law criminalizing lying about military honors. It also granted cert for an interesting corporate liability/Alien Tort Claims Act case.
• New Yorkers support Occupy Wall Street.
• The President is still pushing the jobs bill -- good on ya, Mr. President.

The Short List - October 17, 2011

International

• Pakistan's government seems to be returning to truces to deal with the Taliban, despite the violence perpetrated on the country in the past few years.


• Kenyan troops, in a nominally Kenyan-Somali joint operation, have pushed al-Shabab out of two towns near the Kenyan border.


• The Arab League has decided not to suspend Syria from the group, but instead insisted government and opposition forces meet in Cairo to discuss the situation.  The Syrian government has refused.  Of note, the Arab League ostracized Qaddafi in Libya and that was largely seen as the moment NATO forces to begin to intervene, so the actions of this body are important to watch.


• In Yemen, violence bubbles up again as pro-Saleh and opposition forces squared off in the capital city of Sanaa.


• The Israel-Hamas prisoner swap is finding many critics in Israel.

Domestic

• President Obama dedicated the Martin Luther King Jr. Memorial yesterday, giving a great speech.


• Herman Cain was on Meet the Press yesterday.  He managed to talk past 9-9-9 questions, against logical questions.  He either would not embrace or was unfamiliar with neoconservatism.  And he would not seek a federal ban on same sex marriage, which made Rick Santorum upset on the one hand, but happy to be covered for being upset on the other.  **Programming Note: Ben and I will be live blogging the GOP debate tomorrow night.**


• Veterans have trouble finding jobs, in part because employers don't know what their skills translate to in the working world.


• House GOP freshmen struggle to raise money, which (because of money's outsized influence in campaigns) could make the Tea Party insurgency rather brief.


• Checking in with the deficit reduction super committee.


• The St. Louis Cardinals are headed to the World Series.  Political significance?  None.  Significance to your editor?  Tons.

The Short List - October 14, 2011

International

• The U.S. will send former military personnel to Libya to attempt to track down and destroy surface-to-air missiles that Qaddafi had stockpiled, for fear they may fall into terrorist hands.  Speaking of Qaddafi, a senior NTC official says their forces are tracking Qaddafi via satellite as he stays mobile in southern Libya.  Whenever I hear about tracking someone via satellite, I always think about this.


• On the heels of S&P downgrading Spain's sovereign debt, the G-20 finance ministers will meet to discuss what to do with a anemic (potentially non-existent) recovery.


• The CIA says they have killed the highest ranking member yet, of those targeted, of the Haqqani network via drone strike in northwest Pakistan.


• President Obama has said Iran will be held to account for the alleged bombing plot, and while that is likely to be more sanctions as we see in Syria sometimes the expected targets don't feel the sting as much as the broader populace.

Domestic

• Hermain Cain's 9-9-9 plan would put a greater burden on the poor then current tax code, and as it happens when you are the (almost) front runner people are beginning to wonder what Cain brings beyond 9-9-9.


• So many jobs plans, so little time.  Though the Congress did approve three free trade deals long languishing in legislative purgatory, giving President Obama a slight victory though not everyone is excited about the trade deal.  **Editor's Note: Cutting the corporate tax rate may be a good idea, but the issue right now is not that companies don't have enough cash so tying that to a short-term jobs bill is very misleading.**


• Mitt Romney doesn't fear a trade war with China in an op-ed your editor finds a bit disconcerting.


• As the Occupy movements continue, Democrats have a difficult time so far connecting with the anger.

The Short List - October 13, 2011

International

• There are unconfirmed reports that yet another Qaddafi son has been captured. Despite such reports in the past, no sons of Qaddafi have been captured by NTC fighters. Meanwhile, NTC fighters have reached the coastal route in Sirte, cutting off the escape of remaining Qaddafi loyalists.
• Questions continue to swirl around the alleged Iranian assassination plot. Friend of the blog, Reza Marashi addresses it at the Huffington Post. Some question whether the plot was real, others what the U.S. should do about it.
• The world-wide Blackberry outage is over! After three days, your Torch or Bold should have buzzed back to life this morning. This Editor and long-time--though no longer--Blackberry user wonders if this outage is the nail in RIM's coffin.

Domestic

• Big Money Obama pulled in $70 million in the third quarter for the re-elect.
• Foreclosure is giving way to demolition. What a great use of homes and resources.
• Scott Brown may be a member of the esteemed ranks of Senator-plagiarists.
• The Washington Post fact-checks Cain's 9-9-9 plan. Cain himself will be on MTP this Sunday.

What Kind Of Day Has It Been

International

• NTC forces press the attack in Sirte and Reuters captures this stunning footage:

• Unfortunately, weapons are flowing out of Libya and into Egypt's black markets. This bodes poorly for Egypt given its current troubling state.
• Slovakia: spoiler no more.
• China and Vietnam moved closer to settling a longstanding maritime dispute. No word on whether the agreement in principle covers the Spratly Islands, as well.

Domestic

• Turns out Obama's job bill is popular with Americans. Unfortunately, it's only really popular when the various provisions are listed to the respondents. So much for message discipline. Still, the President keeps pressing the attack--good for him.
• Sidney Tarrow says that Occupy Wall Street (and its spin offs) are less movement and more a "constituent moment" like the Great Depression coalition. Meanwhile, Peter Dreier says OWS will get co-opted and that that is a good thing. As for those who continue to say that the message of Occupy isn't clear, your Editor will let this picture (taken at last Wednesday's rally) do the talking for him:

• Hey, maybe we'll have a budget.