tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post5266753719812007505..comments2023-11-03T08:36:57.066-04:00Comments on D.C. Exile: Assessing Options in AfghanistanUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post-69619421022478651192009-09-10T11:58:20.054-04:002009-09-10T11:58:20.054-04:00Well that's encouraging, I hope they succeed i...Well that's encouraging, I hope they succeed in killing plenty of Taliban. That said, given that no central government has ever exerted real authority over the tribal areas I am skeptical of the long-term impact of this offensive and imagine that the region will continue to provide safe harbor to Al Qaeda for the foreseeable future. I hope I am wrong.Colinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03573575140584770666noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post-61935463209083352922009-09-09T14:42:31.722-04:002009-09-09T14:42:31.722-04:00You are mistaken. Also this.<a href="http://news.google.com/news/search?pz=1&ned=us&hl=en&q=pakistan+taliban" rel="nofollow">You are mistaken</a>. Also <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=au6N6wwYyy98" rel="nofollow">this</a>.Benhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06325732717974974062noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post-82476766403604592492009-09-09T08:26:26.163-04:002009-09-09T08:26:26.163-04:00"If Pakistan continues its push in Pakistan....."If Pakistan continues its push in Pakistan..."<br /><br />What push? Pakistan has had severe problems with its incursions into the territories controlled by the tribes. Didn't they sign a cease fire earlier this year? Has that been abrogated?Colinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03573575140584770666noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post-26181777339610226752009-09-08T13:32:53.039-04:002009-09-08T13:32:53.039-04:00Your conclusion is only reasonable if you presume ...Your conclusion is only reasonable if you presume Pakistan will not continue its pursuit of AQ, Afghan and Pakistani Taliban. Yes, AQ might enjoy de jure sanctuary in Pakistan if Pakistan cedes it sanctuary - but that is merely an identity, one based not on the current state of affairs but on "what if Pakistan stops pursuing AQ, the Afghan and Pakistani Taliban."<br /><br />I think the question of which side of the Hindu Khush AQ lands is dependent on the relative autonomy it may enjoy as compared to the external pressure it must endure. If Pakistan continues its push in Pakistan, an ungovernable region of Afghanistan populated by the same Pashtu tribes as in Pakistan seems the reasonable place for it to land. To say nothing of the difficulty Pakistan would face in its campaign if Afghanistan begins to function as safe haven from which Pakistani Taliban can launch attacks or retreat to.Benhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06325732717974974062noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7665280159887667854.post-31052584363573845622009-09-08T13:01:43.387-04:002009-09-08T13:01:43.387-04:00Let's assume this is correct, that a stable an...Let's assume this is correct, that a stable and coherent Afghan government without symapthies to Islamic radicals is needed to ensure that Al Qaeda does not return to the country.<br /><br />Given that Al Qaeda currently enjoys de facto sanctuary in Pakistan, where American forces are unable to touch them, what would be their incentive to return to the country? <br /><br />Seems to me that AQ has simply traded the protection of the Taliban for that of the Pakistani tribes.Colinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03573575140584770666noreply@blogger.com