Coke Comes to Somaliland

Although Somaliland remains unrecognized--and remains substantially more stable and democratic than internationally recognized Somalia--the Coca Cola corporation has provided it with a measure of recognition.  That's right, Somaliland is the proud host of Africa's latest Coca Cola bottling plant.  NPR has the story.

The Kampala Bombings

Al-Shabab, the al-Qaeda linked militants that control most of Somalia, have claimed responsibility for the bombings—and attempted bombing—in Kampala on Sunday. The Kampala attacks represent the first time al-Shabab has launched an attack outside of the territory of Somalia—excepting, of course, a spate of attacks last autumn in Somaliland.

In the past, Al-Shabab has threatened to attack Kenya and Ethiopia for their support of the Transitional Federal Government and their occupation of Somalia, respectively. It would appear that the bombings in Kampala fit the pattern of al-Shabab reacting against what it views as foreign interference in Somalia—Uganda has provided a large contingent of the AU peace keepers currently operating in Somalia; al-Shabab threatened further attacks against Uganda and Burundi if their troops do not leave Somalia. Notably, the United States also backs the TFG and provided military and intelligence support to Ethiopia during its invasion in 2006—the invasion that sparked al-Shabab.

Despite this apparent causal relationship, the US Assistant Secretary for African Affairs is quoted in today’s New York Times as saying, “[Al-Shabab] was a localized cancer, but the cancer has metastasized into a regional crisis. It is a crisis that has bled across borders and is now infecting the international community.”

It is not clear, at this point, that al-Shabab has or even desires to obtain the capacity to operate on a global level and truly “infect[] the international community.” Nevertheless, al-Shabab’s now demonstrated ability to operate at least regionally, and its supposed close links to al-Qaeda, should make the United States very nervous.

The Kampala bombings demonstrate quite clearly:

• The international community’s policy in Somalia has been an abject failure. The TFG should be abandoned and a clear eyed reassessment of US interests and local actors should be undertaken.
• In the territory of Somalia controlled by al-Shabab, terrorists are able to plan, train, and launch at least regional, cross-border terrorist assaults of a relatively sophisticated nature.
• In the territory of Somalia not controlled by al-Shabab, pirates have free rein and are able to act with impunity.

Thus, it is only the territory of Somalia governed by unrecognized Somaliland that does not present a threat to the international community. In fact Somaliland’s cooperation with the West, its government’s ability to control its territory, and its working judicial system, make it something of bulwark against the international insecurity festering in rump Somalia. A good step forward, from a security policy perspective, would be to recognize Somaliland.

Time to Recognize Somaliland

On Friday, the newest President of Somaliland, Ahmed Mohamed Silanyo, declared his intention to make Somaliland’s international recognition his top priority. In truth, recognition has been a top priority of Somaliland’s political leadership since it declared its independence over nineteen years ago. Analysts and observers have been quoted in the few articles and bulletins announcing Somaliland’s election results pronouncing that this election—graded free and fair—will encourage the international community to extend Somaliland recognition.

It is not the first time a successful democratic process in Somaliland has inspired hope that now, finally, Somaliland will receive international recognition. Similar hopes attended the referendum ratifying Somaliland’s constitution in 2001, its first presidential election, and its parliamentary elections. In fact, Somaliland’s short, nineteen year history is a string of disappointments for the people of a country that is doing all the things that vex post-conflict societies all over the world: disarmament, reconstruction, establishment of the rule of law, and adoption of democratic institutions. Somaliland has done all these things without outside assistance and in the face of outright hostility by the international community.

Somaliland’s story would be remarkable and triumphant anywhere in the world. In a place nominally under the jurisdiction of Somalia—a state synonymous with failure and anarchy—it is unthinkable. But the incongruity of the international community’s refusal to recognize Somaliland is not limited to its juxtaposition with its neighbor to the south. No, what makes Somaliland’s nonrecognition bizarre is Somaliland’s cooperation with the international community which refuses to recognize it. While Somalia serves as a haven for al-Qaeda linked militants and pirates, Somaliland cooperates with NATO and prosecutes captured pirates and terrorists.

On this, the two hundred-and-thirty-fourth anniversary of our independence, the United States, through a simple act of diplomacy, has the power to secure the dreams of independence of a small nation. In doing so, the United States will both be manifesting its own values and securing an ally who shares those values in a region of the world with few nations evincing commitments to democracy and rule of law.

It is time to recognize Somaliland.